On April 7, the Lake Charles American Press reported that Lamar was headed back to the Southland after just one season in the WAC in which the Cardinals did not win a conference game in men's basketball. The Sun Belt was mostly a buyer in this wave of realignment, adding Marshall, Old Dominion and Southern Miss from Conference USA and James Madison from the CAA. Extra Points reported that Division II Queens University of Charlotte, North Carolina was a potential expansion target for the Big South, but the school announced on May 10th it would join the ASUN. -- David Hale, Future look: Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, Wisconsin. Thats quite a fall from grace. Arizona State, Oklahoma State, Clemson or Vanderbilt, Women's Bracketology: The committee is on the clock, and Iowa is on the top line, Extra Points reported that Division II Queens University, Loyola Chicago accepted an invitation from the A-10, CAA was targeting relative Big South newbie Hampton, but the school announced on May 10th it would join the ASUN, reports surfaced that UCLA and USC intended to move to the Big Ten as early as 2024, accepted an invitation to join the Sun Belt, North Carolina A&T would come over from the Big South, HBCU Gameday reported that Howard would join its former MEAC colleagues Hampton at North Carolina A&T in the CAA. The Big 12 secured a new media rights deal with existing partners FOX and ESPN this past fall that will go into effect in 2025, and runs through 2031. Would I like to be a national conference in all the different time zones and from a geography standpoint have our Big 12 flag all over the country, 100% well see where we end up. The main reason is that coaches and administrators, especially at the bigger schools, tend to really like the intrasquad game setup. UCLA Bruins. The MAAC was untouched by this round of realignment until January, when Monmouth announced its departure for the CAA, effective in 2022-23. For schools like Oregon State, which, like others in the conference, was blindsided by two of its West Coast comrades, the move warns of catastrophe. February 18, 2023. What Does Oregon Have to Offer for Conference Realignment? Future look: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, UCLA, USC, Wisconsin. Oklahoma and Texas are headed to the SEC -- by at least the start of the 2025 season and maybe sooner -- and the SEC seems content becoming college football's first 16-team super conference for now. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. More:Big Ten expansion, realignment prediction: Pac-12's Oregon, Washington to join conference Outkick wrote that the choice was simple for Pac-12 How willing would the Pac-12 and Big 12 be to sacrifice their longstanding brands in favor of a joint venture? The loss of the last two historical powers from the league's roster significantly weakened its appeal in upcoming media rights negotiations, after it was already rebuffed on extension talks while Texas and Oklahoma were still in the Big 12. In the age of the 12-team College Football Playoff, you wont have to be the best team in the conference to get in. Future look: Albany, Binghamton, Bryant, Maine, UMBC, UMass Lowell, New Hampshire, NJIT, Vermont. He said the Pac-12 is very close to securing a new media rights deal, but he is well aware that one more team leaving the conference could set in motion a domino effect. Loyola Chicago accepted an invitation from the A-10 in November, announcing it will depart the Missouri Valley and expand its new conference to 15 schools. Or is the revenue difference worth their second-tier status? No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. 12 BYU) and Washington State (17-14 over No. ESPN reporters answer key questions for each conference and what the next steps might be for each. A conference that had already seen major recent attrition with the defection of Bethune-Cookman and Florida A&M to the SWAC, Hampton and North Carolina A&T to the Big South (and now CAA) and Savannah State back to Division II appeared set to sustain another blow in 2022-23 when HBCU Gameday reported that Howard would depart for the CAA, but the Bison ultimately opted to remain in the MEAC. One of the main reasons Missouri has felt out of place in the SEC is that it was out of place in the SEC East. And those moves were the Big 12's reaction to the Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners jumping ship for the SEC. With SDSU's basketball team advancing to its first Final Four, there has been side action to the accomplishment. Analysis: The Cougars are another team that could be left without a chair in the realignment talks, and they Future look: FIU, Jacksonville State, Liberty, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Sam Houston, UTEP, Western Kentucky. James Madison, which had been actively and transparently seeking an FBS conference for its football program for the better part of 20 years, in November accepted an invitation to join the Sun Belt in time for the 2022-23 season. He knows recruiting is important. -- Bonagura, Conference realignment tracker: Remaining questions, next steps after latest shake-up, USC football, MLB or both? (Both recently arranged to leave.) This time around, its more about brands. Scheduling implications may include guaranteed non-conference matchups between member schools and a football championship game of sorts to be held in Las Vegas. Best guess: Oregon and Washington would take less than a full Big Ten share (estimated $75 million per school starting in 2024) at least initially to be part of the richest That doesnt have to be a 10-win season, it just needs to be a continually competitive showing. For more College Football news, analysis, opinion and unique coverage by FanSided, including Heisman Trophy and College Football Playoff rankings, be sure to bookmark these pages. Of course, Oregon and Washington are good fits. "Our Power 6 campaign is going to be energized," he said. -- Mark Schlabach, Future look: Boston College, Clemson, Duke, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, NC State, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest. His recruitment is still in the very early days, but the Oregon Ducks are making a strong impression on one of the top players in the class of 2025. In the first major shot across the realignment bow, Oklahoma and Texas announced in July 2021 that they would leave the Big 12 for the SEC in the summer of 2025. Mark Stoops has built a really solid program, but in order to break through the Wildcats may need to rely less on coaching and more on getting top-notch talent: Even with Levis, last years team was 26th in the 247Sports overall team talent rankings. Dont get blown out more than a time or two. Either way, schools like Oregon State would be able to minimize travel and preserve traditional matchups while reaping the benefits of competing in a massive league. What's next for each team in the AP Top 25? Which teams could win? UCLA may adjust to life in the Big Ten easier than USC for all we know, but for Robbins to say they were a reluctant partner in this is shocking. Although the Big Ten and Pac-12 are historically and philosophically aligned around the Rose Bowl and other things, there could be down-the-road value in the Big Ten pursuing schools such as USC, UCLA, Oregon and Washington for potential additions. Overall, I think the Four Corners schools are the ones to watch in this, particularly the Arizona schools. Exclusive Highlights and Recruiting Interviews But a wise man once told me: Always lead with realignment, even if totally speculative, hypothetical and not happening. We're a long way away from that, but Phillips needs to consider the future for the ACC not just in a year or two but a decade or more down the line. The Big 12 Conference has shown interest in Fresno State University as a potential expansion candidate, university president Saul Jimenez-Sandoval reportedly The exchange of rivalry games would also be a wash: Missouri would get Kansas back, but it would lose Arkansas, and its just about to get Oklahoma back. James Parks. Pac-12 Conference expansion and realignment speculation continues to swirl and the chatter seems to be intensifying. For now, the Pac-12 is definitely on life support. The NEC is guaranteed a new champion in men's basketball in 2022-23, as Bryant announced March 29 it was leaving the conference for the America East. There is still the big looming question of closing out the league's first chapter, however: Just how long do Texas and Oklahoma plan on sticking around? Those four Pac-12 schools potentially joining USC and UCLA in the Big Ten would leave Arizona State, Arizona, Utah, Colorado, Oregon State and Washington State This round was focused on the Group of 5 schools but resulted from the reverberations of the Big 12's plucking the Cincinnati Bearcats, UCF Knights and Houston Cougars from the American Athletic Conference in September. The Big 12 Conference has shown interest in Fresno State University as a potential expansion candidate, university president Saul Jimenez-Sandoval reportedly confirmed via The San Joaquin Valley Sun. Maybe some enterprising TV executives need to get on it. (Despite my skepticism of Levis as a first-round NFL Draft pick.) The latest talk includes a lot of talk about Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onFanSided.com and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. If you use just the TV money, the SECs average payout is set to be around $58 million under the current parameters of the ESPN contract, while the Big 12s average payout will only be around $28 million and that was considered a good get by first-year commissioner Brett Yormark. Yes, an active university president in the Pac-12 spoke this candidly about USC, Oregon and UCLA. If you asked the average SEC fan what South Carolinas record has been the last two years, they may not nail it. Basketball excellence, sure, but the 2023 NCAA This is a program that came one win away from making the BCS championship in 2007 and won the SEC East in 2013 and 14. Certainly, Missouri would have an easier path, but not that much easier. While USC and UCLA are leaving the Pac-12 for the Big Ten in 2024, there is a chance the Big Ten may have initially preferred Oregon over the Bruins in joining the Trojans in their revamped league. C-USA additions: Jacksonville State, Liberty, New Mexico State, Sam Houston, C-USA future look: Florida International, Jacksonville State, Liberty, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Sam Houston, UTEP, Western Kentucky, Sun Belt additions: James Madison, Southern Miss, Old Dominion, Marshall, Sun Belt future look: Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, James Madison, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Old Dominion, South Alabama, Southern Miss, Texas State, Troy. "Maybe it's a story that needs to be written," Bowlsby said. And it should be satisfied with the state of its football program. Several league administrators said they thought Texas and Oklahoma could be a good play down the road, but the SEC struck first. The Missouri Valley will lose one of its top men's basketball brands in the summer of 2022, as Loyola Chicago departs for the Atlantic 10, but the Valley has been active on the expansion front as well. This is premium content. WebWhen conference realignment has come up in the past, the common refrain has been look at the list of AAU schools and thats who the Big Ten will target. Former Big Ten The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Yormark, at the Big 12 men's basketball tournament earlier in March, did express admiration for Gonzaga, which had been previously linked to the Big 12 as a basketball expansion candidate given the Bulldogs' success on the hardwood. Future look: Central Connecticut, Fairleigh Dickinson, Long Island U., Merrimack, Sacred Heart, St. Francis Brooklyn, Saint Francis, Stonehill, Wagner. It would be the death of the athletic department as we know it. ESPN's Pete Thamel reported on April 27 that current NEC member Mount Saint Mary's would depart for the MAAC in 2022-23, bringing the conference back to 11 members. But hell ultimately be judged on those major hires, principally football but also mens basketball, where Todd Golden had the same record in his first year (16-17) that Mike White had at Georgia (16-16). It became the latest development in a paradigm shift that appears to be further separating the haves from the have-nots. The moves would end Bruins and Trojans relationships with the league that reach back to the 1920s for both schools, and could have a major ripple effect not only for the Pac-12 but throughout college sports. The conference announced in November that it would counter by adding Jacksonville State, Liberty, New Mexico State and Sam Houston in time for the 2023-24 season. Jacksonville State and Liberty will each end short stints with the ASUN when they move to Conference USA in 2023. Adding San Diego State and Boise State would be a start in targeting athletic departments with proven track records of success and tapping into the largest available markets out west. Id watch that. The MAC has been the quietest of the Group of 5 leagues during the latest realignment flurry as it hasn't had to ward off any suitors. More: Big 12 expansion, realignment speculation includes Pac-12 schools Arizona State, Arizona Ducks Wire also projected a big upheaval for the Pac-12 in Seth Emerson is a senior writer for The Athletic covering Georgia and the SEC. Hugh Freeze this week threw out the idea of Auburn and Alabama playing UAB and Troy. As usual, its primarily a football move, but it affects college basketball teams as Future look: Eastern Washington, Idaho, Idaho State, Montana, Montana State, Northern Arizona, Northern Colorado, Portland State, Sacramento State, Weber State. Conference realignment has become an increasingly frustrating attempt to squeeze dollars out of a system that has consolidated resources at the top. The Pac-12 has also impressed in non-conference play with Washington (39-28 over No. The additions, particularly in Texas, are meant to solidify the league's Western flank and also draw in larger media markets. Future look: Arizona, Arizona State, Cal, Colorado, Oregon, Oregon State, Stanford, Utah, Washington, Washington State. Stability is the buzzword, and between the Alliance and the league's onerous grant of rights, Phillips has it for the time being. Jumping ship is a near necessity for those who can pull it off, and Oregon State is not among that group. -- Rittenberg, Future look: Air Force, Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, San Diego State, San Jose State, UNLV, Utah State, Wyoming. Eight of the schools are still around, and Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, North Texas, Rice, UAB, and UTSA left The Big Ten also likely has zero interest in adding Pacific Northwest schools not named Washington or Oregon. Phillips is the calming force for now. In the midst of spring practice, you all asked excellent questions about the programs at Florida, South Carolina and Kentucky, playing spring games against XFL teams, and what future SEC games we should look forward to. But after Cincinnati, Houston and UCF left, they would have been leaving for an inferior conference with more travel and no clear benefits. As college conference realignment and expansion speculation and rumors continue to swirl, take a look at some burning questions facing the Pac-12 Conference Among targeted projects by Fresno State, per The Sun, are a $160 million renovation project to Valley Children's Stadium and a $47 million renovation of the Duncan Athletic Center. He has preached patience with league members, and until another major domino falls, that message appears to be resonating. You can sneak in with a very good year, then try to build on that. How much would it recoup by presumably being more competitive in the Big 12? Oregon State would continue to reap the financial benefits of power conference membership, which would measure much larger in a partnership than it would if the Pac went about its business alone. The most logical play for the Big 12 remains going after Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado and Utah. Perhaps the Pac-10/12 and Big 12 monikers could live on as two division titles. While the three departing schools are the ones that helped set that standard with a combined four of the league's five New Year's Six appearances, confidence remains high that the league can continue forward and stay in the national spotlight. But with the top three football programs gone, this is a blow to the American in the short term. Eventually. Now the list of programs that could genuinely change the economic landscape for the league is probably down to one: Notre Dame. 1 in the 2023-24 men's Way-Too-Early Top 25, UConn's win lowest-viewed NCAA final on record, KU's Self 'fine' after scare, plans to keep coaching, UConn celebrated in return to 'basketball country', Zona's Kriisa, top PG transfer, commits to WVU, Purdue C Zach Edey honored with Wooden Award, Source: NJIT hiring Billmeier as new head coach, Ex-Tide F Miles pleads not guilty in shooting case, UConn will headline Maui Invitational next season, The evolution of the Big East sets up a basketball revolution, '5 OF THEM THANGS': Numbers and reactions from UConn's title win. The NCAA requires at least eight football schools for a conference to remain linked to College Football Playoff money distribution, so with no conference from which to pluck at the FBS level, C-USA added two football independents (NMSU and Liberty) and two FCS programs (Jacksonville State and defending FCS champion Sam Houston). Existentially, Oregon States inclusion in the merger would ensure the Beavers high-level competition in the long term. Future look: Baylor, BYU, Cincinnati, Houston, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, UCF, West Virginia. If the league is able to add Group of Five schools like San Diego State and SMU, maybe it can stay afloat in the expanded College Football Playoff era? As for Napier, this answer will sound a lot like the one on Beamer: He doesnt need to beat Georgia or make a New Years Six bowl this year, but he needs to show hope. The news of USC and UCLA departing the Pac-12 and joining the Big Ten shook the college athletics world when it broke on the morning of June 30th. The recruiting has been solid (the 2023 class finished ranked No. For now, the moves have cut the conference to 10 teams, but it feels highly unlikely that the league -- if it survives -- won't undergo further alterations. The approximately $30 million allocated to Oregon State from the Pac-12 currently is modest compared to what other Power Five programs haul in, but earning less than 15 percent of that would cripple the university. This page will be continuously updated as further changes occur. Worse, if realignment turns into a land war between the SEC and Big Ten, it would be almost impossible for the ACC to avoid being caught in the middle. For Oregon State athletic director Scott Barnes, interim president Becky Johnson, and incoming president Jayathi Murthy, the work ahead of them is monumental - and it will determine the future of the university. But divisions are about to go away, and Mizzous schedule is about to make much more sense. Seth joined The Athletic in 2018 from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, and also covered From a brand and marketability standpoint, the Oregon addition over UCLA does make sense. Keeping the Pac-12 intact sans USC and UCLA retains the most value, but at the very least, a Pacific Northwest bloc of four schools gives Oregon State negotiating partners - two of which hold considerable nationally recognized athletic merit. For Oregon State, this would be a major win. The Big 12 Conference has shown interest in Fresno State University as a potential expansion candidate, university president Saul Jimenez-Sandoval reportedly confirmed via The San Joaquin Valley Sun. The Beavers appear poised to jump into the top tier of the Pac-12 in football while maintaining success in the Olympic sports, and continuing on that path would help position Oregon State more favorably in the next realignment cycle. The WAC will undergo major alterations next season, with Chicago State departing without a known conference destination, Lamar heading back to the Southland, and New Mexico State and short-timer Sam Houston both joining Conference USA. In October, the American announced it would add six former members of Conference USA: Charlotte, FAU, North Texas, Rice, UAB and UTSA, bringing the basketball membership of the conference to 14 schools, pending the departure of the Big 12 defectors. They want someone out there fighting for the team, mixing it up with media members. Assessing Oregon State's Position in the Conference Realignment Landscape By Carter Bahns Jul 6, 2022 143 The news of USC and UCLA departing the Pac-12 and Future look: Charlotte, East Carolina, FAU, Memphis, North Texas, Rice, SMU, South Florida, Temple, UTSA, Tulane, Tulsa, UAB, Wichita State. If the Gamecocks are merely average, they could end up 7-6 or 6-7. So while the long-term goal might still be to expand, there remains the ever-present concern that the ACC could just as likely lose teams down the road, once the financial calculus begins to even out a bit. The Pac-12 is obviously worse off without USC and UCLA, but it can survive without them. Proponents of an Oregon State move to the Big 12, for example, must recognize that the Beaver brand is a low-priority addition in comparison to other available targets. It's not very much money [the difference in conference payouts between the Big 12 and SEC], and competitively, they've got a better path [in the Big 12]. Fresno County voters opted against Measure E this past November by a 47.14-52.86 vote, per The Sun. Or it could be greeted with a collective Nah.. Like all of them? The Ducks do not have the basketball history of the Bruins, but they have been a pillar in the college football realm throughout the 21st century. So where do things stand and what is next for conference realignment? Kansas City, a member of the Summit League, has reportedly been a school on the MVC radar. Beamer is still in the honeymoon phase, defined here as the theres still hope phase, and if he leaves this season showing theres still hope to be a really good program, then its a good season. The Oregon Ducks have reportedly expressed interest in joining the Big Ten conference as college football realignment continues. C-USA subtractions: Alabama-Birmingham, Florida Atlantic, Charlotte, Marshall, North Texas, Old Dominion, Rice, Southern Miss, Texas-San Antonio. (MTSU and WKU had been linked to a potential move to the MAC but will stay put.) But so did Will Muschamp, Jeremy Pruitt and Derek Dooley. (Assuming theyve been paying attention.) Future look: Austin Peay, Bellarmine, Central Arkansas, Eastern Kentucky, Florida Gulf Coast, Jacksonville, Kennesaw State, Lipscomb, North Alabama, North Florida, Queens, Stetson. But I havent heard the idea of playing teams from the XFL (or throw in the USFL). To keep track of the changes, ESPN put together a conference-by-conference guide to the pending movement throughout Division I. The question then becomes how the ACC can remain competitive with its regional rival in the SEC when that league might ultimately double the ACC's TV contract while enjoying the immense recruiting advantage of being seen as, essentially, a mini-NFL. Stream on ESPN+. Future look: Davidson, Dayton, Duquesne, Fordham, George Mason, George Washington, La Salle, Loyola Chicago, UMass, Rhode Island, Richmond, St. Bonaventure, Saint Joseph's, Saint Louis, VCU. Spencer Rattlers return ups the ante a bit, but not to win the East level. Please subscribe to view. Incarnate Word, which had previously pledged to join the league, changed its mind and opted to remain in the Southland. No Division I league will undergo a bigger transformation than C-USA, which will lose nine schools -- UAB (American), Florida Atlantic (American), Charlotte (American), Marshall (Sun Belt), North Texas (American), Old Dominion (Sun Belt), Rice (American), Southern Miss (Sun Belt) and UTSA (American) -- from its current roster by 2023-24. Ten universities in the absence of a Los Angeles presence is not enough; the reach is not wide enough, the brands are not strong enough, and therefore the conference is not competitive enough to operate at a power level. Jump to: ACC | Big 12 | Big Ten | Pac-12 | SEC | American | Conference USA/Sun Belt | MAC | Mountain West, Additions: BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston, Future look: Baylor, BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Go all-access with UCF football as new head coach Gus Malzahn and the Knights charge into the 2021 college football season with hopes of further establishing the program as one of the country's best. Based on new Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormarks comments at Big 12 media days, it seems like the conference is in a good spot and likely acting as an aggressor in realignment discussions. The ACC and Pac-12 need creative strategies to avoid falling too far behind financially. (The football side of the league will also have 14 programs, minus non-football Wichita State and including affiliate member Navy, which will continue to serve as a core member of the Patriot League for other sports). The question some in and around the Big Ten keep asking is why the league entered the Alliance with two weaker, poorer conferences. Down the line, Oregon States lack of competitive advantages geographically and financially would lead to parity with athletic departments currently viewed as far inferior. This meant the men's basketball Dukes (who started the season 9-2, including a win over Virginia) and a fourth-place CAA women's basketball team were unable to earn their way into the NCAA tournament in the school's final go-round in the league. News broke Thursday that UCLA and USC will join the Big Ten in 2024. "Their chances [to make the College Football Playoff] are better coming through the Big 12," Bowlsby said. All six incoming schools are reportedly planning to start AAC play in 2023-24. SCNext Top 25: A new No. It should be noted that like Stony Brook, Albany, Maine and New Hampshire are current America East members who play football as part of the CAA. Thank you for another curveball. First, name, image and likeness (NIL) legislation passed, then the talks of expanding the College Football Playoff bracket to 12 teams came about, and now serious At best, it seems to be the third-best team in the division after Georgia and Tennessee. And it's no secret that the American went after several schools from the Mountain West -- including Boise State -- before taking on its new members from Conference USA. Ghosts of The Alliance between the Pac-12, Big Ten, and ACC haunt the idea of another inter-conference agreement given that last summers handshake between commissioners resulted in just one coordinated effort (voting against College Football Playoff expansion) before becoming obsolete. Ditto for Napier, entering only his second year. That left C-USA with only five geographically disparate programs -- Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, UTEP and Western Kentucky. This partnership would not merge the conferences, but rather it would preserve their individual existences and provide a bargaining tool in media rights negotiations. I haven't gotten any answers about that." If Missouri had waited, would it have gotten the Big Tens invite in late 2012 instead of Maryland or Rutgers? Future look: Cleveland State, Detroit Mercy, Green Bay, IUPUI, Milwaukee, Northern Kentucky, Oakland, Purdue Fort Wayne, Robert Morris, Wright State, Youngstown State. Fresno State does have an existing Big 12 connection via its equestrian program, which joined as an affiliate member of the league several years ago. Alabama March Madness injury update, TCU vs. Gonzaga prediction and odds for NCAA Tournament Second Round, Georgia had to pay up to keep DC Glenn Schumann away from Alabama, Mike Pence Wore an NCAA Tournament Hat to the NCAA Tournament, NFL rumors: 5 teams that should hope Jalen Carters stock keeps falling, Bill Belichick and Sir Mix-a-Lot have a lot in common, per Nick Saban, In the Market: Looking at the top QB prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft class after Scouting Combine. Realignment speculation continues to swirl and the chatter seems to be further separating the haves the! Bonagura, conference realignment Despite my skepticism of Levis as a first-round NFL pick! Now the list of programs that could genuinely change the economic landscape for the Big 's! Pac-12 is definitely on life support are merely average, they could end up 7-6 or 6-7 with! College football Playoff, you wont have to be the best team in the long term has. 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