He had a successful foray into full-season ball, slashing .273/.360/.451 with 15 homers and 14 steals while with Low-A Myrtle Beach. Mayo makes frequent, hard, pull-heavy contact despite his sometimes ugly-looking cut, which features a strange, choppy stride. The closest contemporary statistical predecessors and tool-based comps to make for De La Cruz are Willy Adames (a 29% K% hitter who has performed like a 60 because he gets to his power and plays great defense) and Fernando Tatis Jr. (27.6% K%). He also dealt with an eye condition that would later require surgery to strengthen the collagen fibers within his cornea, surgery he had in 2020 while he also reworked his mechanics. Big-bodied catchers with potent bats, like Travis dArnaud, Tyler Flowers and Diaz, are the sorts who tend to take a leap later in their 20s, which is the expectation here. Its prudent to bake this context into how one thinks about Marte, but there are also some statistical yellow flags evident in his regular season performance as well as some harsh realities to come to grips with regarding his trajectory on defense. Hes likely to move off shortstop eventually, but it probably wont be for a while; the longer he stays there, the more margin for error the hit tool component, which were a tad apprehensive about, will have as he begins his big league career. Even though beat writers reported that he had begun throwing again in June, Espino didnt pitch in games for the rest of the year. Sometimes the length of his slider is so ridiculous that its actually tough for him to control. Leiter was wild in his first full season, but we dont want to come off him too severely since he has looked like a solid fourth starter basically every other year hes been on the prospect radar. Naylors defense is still pretty rough around the edges. He has a shot to break camp with the big club and play a huge role on the next Orioles contender. From a heuristics standpoint, you cant do much better than Rodriguezs profile. Theres substantial bust risk here but the ceiling is huge, too big to move off of Hernandez after a whiff-prone first year stateside. An action-packed week one has come to an end, meaning its time to release our first Top 25 of the young season. RHP Trey Yesavage Yesavage had a good year out of the bullpen in 2022 for the Pirates and now he looks to translate that into productive starts. In four games, Chatagnier owns a 1.792 OPS with two homers and five batted in. DI baseball news. Bradley hammers the zone with his heater (he threw strikes with his fastball at a 71% clip in 2022), and the uphill line and carry on the pitch make it difficult for hitters to get on top of, especially at these velocities. Hassell went to the Fall League, where he broke his right hamate; he had surgery and was shut down. This is particularly important given the fact that his fastballs viability has more to do with its velocity than its shape, so being able to rely more heavily on the secondaries he also features an impressive mid-80s slider and a changeup he reserves mainly for use against lefties allows the whole mix to play up. McGarrys mid-80s slider and low-80s changeup are both plus, but his control issues extend to those pitches. The upright nature of this adjusted swing has impacted Meads plate coverage a bit, and he swung through lots of high fastballs and sliders that finished on the outer third of the zone in 2022. Even as various aspects of his profile remain amorphous, Ramos offensive performance to this point and optimism that hell ultimately be able to play at least one infield position well as he matures put him on the Top 100 despite his variance. Then, on the Cape, he hit .295 with four homers in 20 games between the regular season and playoffs. Cartaya had a whopping 41% hard-hit rate in 2022, which is already better than that of the average big league starting catcher (hes 21! McGarry still has below-average control and only throws his pitches for strikes at a 60% clip, but hes come a long way since his days at Virginia, when he was walking a batter per inning and was passed over in the 2020 draft. Pages swing is as geared for lift as any hitter in the minors, and he should get to enough power to profile in a corner. Youll note that prospects are ranked by number but also lie within tiers demarcated by their Future Value grades. His ability to do this consistently is surprising considering that Peraza is a fairly aggressive hitter in general, likely to run OBPs in the .310-.320 range. The Demon Deacons will look to keep their bats hot with another home tournament this weekend. Buschs swing is simple but still athletic and explosive. 3 or 4 starter on a contender like the Mets, who signed him to a five-year, $75 million deal. Julien tweeted he was going back to school, then went to the Cape and had a great two weeks, after which the Twins offer rose to just shy of $500,000, inspiring him to sign. He has a big frame, a mature approach, and a left-handed stroke so gorgeous that its now rumored to be dating Pete Davidson. Considered too advanced for the teams Dominican complex, he made his stateside pro debut in 2019 and followed that up by posting a .941 OPS across two A-ball levels in 2021 while still a teenager. He shares many similarities with Eduardo Escobar. 55. Hes a complete hitter who will likely produce some 25-30 home run seasons by virtue of his contact quality and frequency, and some .400-plus OBP seasons because of his plate discipline and speed. He doesnt have to be put on the 40-man until after the 2024 season, but the rate at which he has been promoted so far indicates hell be in the mix for a rotation spot sooner than that. Manzardo put up video game numbers at Washington State, slashing .336/.404/.533 during his time with the Cougars and walking nearly as much as he struck out during his draft year. Previous ranking: No. When you consider that Miller lost a lot of developmental time to COVID and being buried on A&Ms depth chart, you can start to get excited about how much potential growth remains for him. Firm, upper-80s changeups and sliders dart in different directions, and are thrown with 100 mph-looking effort. Miller spent his freshman year at Blinn College, then pitched out of the Texas A&M bullpen as a sophomore and junior. A small school draft-and-dev success, Stone is starting to have that mid-rotation look after growing into more velocity and a great changeup. Lets get into the rankings: UTL Gavin Dugas Dugas returns to Baton Rouge for year five, two years removed from a season in which he hit 19 homers. He was on pace to start 2023 at Double-A and be in the mix for a big league roster spot at some point in 2024 if he kept hitting. Winns huge arm is icing on a cake made mostly of plus bat-to-ball skills and viable shortstop defense. 91UCFAmerican4FL7-20715961 We have counted down the top 100 programs in college baseball, as they stand in 2022. Long Beach State; 47. It has been his best in-zone bat misser thanks largely to the breadth of his arsenal. Short but not small, his lack of length and size is actually an advantage for Johnsons swing, as he can enjoy a bat path geared for power and lift without it being too long. VIDEOS: Mississippi State tosses 1-hit shutout to win2021 CWS title|Watch Miss. Keith was a late-riser on 2020 draft boards and had teams debating whether to select him as a pitcher or a hitter, with some even considering developing him as a two-way talent. 5 to No. 3Mississippi StateSEC3MS1581621 While he was already throwing quite hard, Ortiz came into even more velocity in 2022 and averaged 97 mph on his fastball, up two ticks from 2021. Bat speed prodigy Luciano has encountered a few developmental speed bumps since roasting the Cal League in 2021. After that it seemed like Ramirez was asked to try to demonstrate better plate discipline. His performance in 2022 was a reminder of what makes him such an exciting prospect: over 34 games at Triple-A, he slashed .313/.405/.534 with nearly 12% walks and just over 20% strikeouts. Cue the Hunter Pence comps because Mayos swing is still wacky looking and odd, but it clearly works for him. He has a mid-80s cutter/slider that doesnt often have vertical depth, but it does have great length for how hard it is. 75Oral RobertsSummit1OK3-16596571 While injured, he was dealt to the Cubs, and when he returned in 2022, he wasted little time demonstrating why hed netted the Mets Javier Bez and Trevor Williams in return. Add to that performance his track record as a clubhouse favorite with natural leadership abilities and his multi-positional utility, and Lewis is primed for an everyday role as soon as his health allows. Jung had a rough 2022 that were chalking up to injury-related rust rather than severe skill regression. This is where we value a contending teams plug-and-play third or fourth starter. Baty was an older draft prospect of considerable size, and there was worry hed have to move to first base in pro ball. Those pitches (in order of usage) are a cutter, slider, and the occasional curveball, all bending in anywhere between 94 and 75 mph, with the sliders shape and velo sometimes bleeding into the other two. Our 36th-ranked draft prospect as a high schooler in 2019, Lee is a switch-hitting shortstop with above-average power who walked nearly twice as often as he struck out as a junior. Thats a decrease of four teams for California since 2019, and an increase of one team for Texas. As far as defensive projection is concerned, a boxy frame, medium straight line speed, and an awkward running gait push and pull against Mayers defensive instincts, first-step quickness, and strong arm. Peraza seems to realize this and tends to let strikes in the lower third of the zone go by until he absolutely has to swing at them. Mayers gorgeous left-handed swing produces impact power for a shortstop. Hitters seem to take more comfortable swings against his breaking stuff later in outings, so perhaps theres something about Painters fastball angle that makes it easier to see his breaking balls pop out of hand once theyve had a look at them. Power and arm strength have been Cartayas headline tools since his amateur days, and despite missing lots of time in the 2020-21 window due to the pandemic and injuries, he has still developed on defense and managed his strikeout tendencies, and played enough in 2022 to reinforce industry confidence in his plate discipline across a larger sample of plate appearances. Wiemer has a rare size/athleticism combination and wields an elaborate swing that produces huge pull-side power. Even though Wood is quite big, he has feel for tucking his hands in and getting the barrel to softer pitches on the inner half of the plate, often staying inside them and driving them to the opposite gap. The curve features similar movement with longer break and both are nasty when he runs them off the plate glove side, though both play in the strike zone, as well. Righthander Grayson Rodriguez ranks No. Graceffo starts his windup with a pronounced step backward, then marches toward the plate, throwing from a high arm slot to create a downhill approach. Yorke and his French swing (because it is evocative of Ty France) looked like a high-probability big league hitter with a well-rounded contact and power combination in Arizona, enough to project as a regular if he can stay on the dirt. It makes sense that there has been some second base experimentation here over the last few years, as Ramos range and actions make it plausible that he could eventually fit there, and Colson Montgomerys third base projection might force the issue. The Rays gave him a $2.3 million bonus to keep him from heading to Cal and have developed him solely at short. 17. Keith was on the SS/3B line as a high school defender, but his extra heft has pushed him down the defensive spectrum. The junior righty went 5.2 innings, struck out four, and allowed two hits. His heater is only generating about a 14% swinging strike rate, per Synergy Sports, which is above the big league average but not elite. Jones, like so much of the Stanford lineup, struggled mightily during the shortened 2020 season, but upon the start of the 2021 campaign, he looked like a different player. The good news is that Alcantara already has enough pop to do damage to the opposite field and hes probably going to grow into much more as his wispy frame continues to fill out. His 2022 line (.263/.339/.459) was solid if unspectacular, though some of the reduction from his performance in 2021 is simply due to exiting the Cal League for the more muted offensive environment in the Northwest. In the three years since the trade, Mead has become one of the more dangerous hitters in the minor leagues and as soon as he becomes a suitable defender, he should provide a well-rounded offensive threat in the middle of Tampa Bays order. Even though his career walk rates are extremely low (7%) for a complex-level prospect (where pitchers often struggle to throw strikes), Bleis chase rates are closer to average. The 100 reports will be in a PDF of our book format and you'll have access . He was working with low-90s velocity and a shapely, low-80s breaking ball at that time. 40. His pre-trade numbers were impressive and only improved when he joined Rocket-City: In his 29 games with the Angels Double-A affiliate, OHoppe slashed .306/.473/.673 and walked more than he struck out, good for a 194 wRC+ over that span. window.FGWebsite_head_section.buildProspectsListTop100Controls(); Previous ranking: No. Davis skills and offensive style are tailored like those of Evan Gattis. 2022 was the first season where Soderstroms time at first base surpassed his time behind the dish. Lots of high-level decision makers ran to Indiana to see the high school version of Montgomery as part of a late spring jaunt through the Midwest, and he was one of the buzziest prospects just as the 2021 draft approached, with some pre-draft smoke near the top 10. He receives on one knee with the bases empty but mixes his technique with runners on. A complete prospect and a total baseball rat, Lawlar had been a touted amateur as an underclassman and held serve as a near top-of-the-class talent for two or three years, even amid the volatility of the 2020 draft process. Its not typical for a prospect who was just put on a 40-man roster to have this much perceived volatility or create this level of polarization. Before he got hurt, there were folks in baseball who considered him a top 30 prospect, so his ceiling is big enough to include him on the top 100 now even though hes coming off injury. Turang is so defensively gifted that he is almost certain to have a significant and lengthy big league career, especially now that shifting is banned. Already armed with plus-plus velocity after coming out of a Division-II school in Michigan, Brown has added a plus-plus curve and slider since turning pro. Hes a little more tightly wound than is typical for a big league shortstop, but Hendersons straight-line speed is plus and so is his defensive range, and his arm strength enables him to make some plays that many other infielders cant. The Cardinal stay home on the farm this week, with a series against Cal State Bakersfield on tap. The transfer outfielder will look to anchor this NC State lineup that lost key pieces over the offseason. His strikeout rate improved upon promotion to Triple-A, albeit in a smaller sample. RHP Drew Beam Beam was dominant over the weekend, allowing three hits over six innings and punching out six. For one, hes a Gold Glove-caliber center field defender, capable of making tough plays look easy and impossible plays possible, especially around the wall. The SEC leads all conferences with 13 teams (out of its 14 current members) in the Top 100. But theyre severe enough to dial down the previously plus grades on Rocchios defense and consider him a future average shortstop, while keeping an eye on how he looks there this spring. His first step can be a little delayed, but Jones huge strides eat up tons of ground in the outfield, and he gallivants into the gaps, robs would-be doubles, and has a runner-sniping arm. Tennessee; 35. But its shape, while deep, is a less-than-ideal pairing with his fastball. College Top 25: Week 1. Even as he has become more and more muscular entering his 20s, he has maintained a freaky level of flexibility, which he attained by stretching four times per day. His pop times are routinely in the 1.85-1.95 range in part because Endy has a strong arm, but also because hes almost always leaving his crouch before he even receives the pitch on steal attempts, which hastens his exchange. He lacks a traditionally projectable frame, but Amador has still gotten stronger over the last year and he flashed more power than expected. If not for the risk created by Tovars plate discipline, hed be in the 55 FV tier, as hes otherwise about to produce like a complete up-the-middle player. By virtue of this precision, he might have peak years with 20 homers or so, very similar to Brantley. The A-Sun, CAA, MVC, MWC, WAC and WCC landed two teams apiece in the Top 100. The bat is impactful enough to consider him a high-probability big leaguer regular of some kind, even at the bottom of the defensive hierarchy. His range and actions at third base are both fantastic, and hes an accurate thrower from all sorts of awkward platforms, but there are times when he lollipops deeper (and even some routine) throws over to first base. Jameson sits 95-96 mph, touches 99, can add and subtract sink from his fastball, and his mid-80s slider is comfortably plus. After strikeouts were an issue for him in 2021, he narrowed his approach (which is now surgically precise) and began to attack pitches he could damage, avoiding ones on the outer edge of the zone until he has no choice but to put them in play. 16 spot after an impressive series win against then-No. Witt will move into the Texas rotation after he had a 3.16 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 57 innings as a key reliever on a Longhorns team that made it to the final four of the College World Series last season. The USAToday/ESPN Coaches Poll is voted on by a panel of 31 Division I baseball coaches. The components of Hernandezs swing push and pull against one another, as his cut is pretty long but he also has very advanced barrel control. Graham has been a consistent producer in the Oklahoma lineup each of the last two seasons, and he was one of the countrys hottest hitters in 2020 at the time the season was canceled. His swing is designed for power; it has a bit of a loop and a steep plane to it, enabling him to crush mistakes to left and center field. Unranked. He did this amid multiple wrist injuries, which is something to keep in the back of your mind in the event that it becomes a chronic issue, as Woods wrists are an integral part of keeping his swing short enough to be manageable. Its possible he was gassed from playing a career-high 132 games during the regular season, and these issues are uncharacteristic of Rocchio. Just seven games into his 2021 minor league season, Carroll sustained a posterior capsular avulsion fracture and a labrum tear during a swing on which he homered. He throws two plus secondaries a mid-80s changeup and a low-80s slider, each with good movement and high whiff-rates and hes shown the ability to locate each of his offerings, boasting strikeout rates over 34% at all three minor league levels. Chronic shoulder issues have derailed the careers of countless pitching prospects, and the new information caused Espino to be repositioned from the 60 FV tier (he was close to 12th overall on early drafts of the list) to here, where both his ceiling and heightened bust risk are factored in. That isnt consistent with his career performance: Jungs 2021 chase rate, per Synergy, was just 24%, and that exploded to 37% in 2022. The SEC also occupies each of the top four spots in the rankings for the second time in a row, although the order of that top four has shuffled a bit since our 2019 update. Greens swing is simple and direct, and he doesnt have an elaborate leg kick (he barely has a stride) or a complicated load; he just tends to swing inside fastballs on the outer third and expand the zone a little bit against fastballs up. Generally considered a polished, high-floored prospect, theres now a fair bit of volatility here. His on-paper whiff and chase rates are about average, while his peak power and hard hit rates are at the top of the scale for a hitter his age. Its tough to call Senga a prospect but he is an MLB rookie and presents a useful litmus test for other major league-ready minor leaguers. OF Jared Wegner An experienced college bat, Wegner was a huge part of the Razorbacks success this week. 65). Those metrics illustrate the way Manzardos skill set is tailored. The tailing shape on his heater is suboptimal but at times helps him miss a bat. Well, Volpes swing starts with what is best described as a heel tap of his rear leg, as he loads all his weight onto his back side before he strides forward and swings with verve and ferocity. He sometimes struggles with arm accuracy from third base and has sub-par range at second, but his footwork, hands, and actions keep him afloat at each spot. In fact, his dastardly mid-80s splitter, which falls off the table and finishes below the strike zone, is easily his best offering, garnering twice as many swings and misses as his fastball in 2022, and about as many whiffs as the rest of his many pitches combined. His patient approach and bat-to-ball skills from both sides of the plate inspire confidence in his ability to eventually become a reliable starter. Synergy Sports has film of Collier seeing about 1,300 pitches since 2020, a gigantic sample for a teenage prospect. There was a stretch as an amateur when Frelick was viewed as a potential second baseman, an experiment that didnt really go anywhere. Miller pairs the heater with a sharp, mid-80s slider and locates both with consistency, good for a combined 50% strikeout rate, while issuing just three walks across 14 innings in 2022. 8 TCU. Constant max-effort hacking often leads to lots of strikeouts, but Wiemer had mostly kept his Ks in check until 2022, when he punched out 30% of the time at Double-A Biloxi. Auburns biggest concern coming out of the weekend is the status of righthander Joseph Gonzalez, who was held out due to shoulder tightness. Hes a good enough defender that hed probably being playing shortstop had he ended up at Arizona State, but in pro ball the keystone is Johnsons likeliest defensive home given his maxed-out, stocky build and what projects to be somewhat limited range. The floor here is XL Freddy Galvis with worse defense, but there will be some peak seasons where more of the power plays and he produces like a star. At times hes too bold and rushes throws that he should just holster, but Tovar is only the age of a college draft prospect, so details like this will likely tighten up as he matures. RHP Billy Oldham The Golden Eagles allowed just three runs across four games to get their season underway and Oldham was impressive. Those states are followed by North Carolina (nine), Florida (seven), Louisiana (six) and Virginia (five). His finishing pitch, though, is his slider, a nasty upper-80s sweeper that generated a 50% whiff rate and 38% chase rate in 2022. Luciano has encountered a few developmental speed bumps since roasting the Cal League in 2021 peak years with 20 or... Upper-80S changeups and sliders dart in different directions, and his mid-80s slider is so ridiculous that its actually for! Worry hed have to move to first base surpassed his time behind the dish his., as they stand in 2022 didnt really go anywhere ceiling is,..., $ 75 million deal in the Top 100 programs in college baseball, as they stand in 2022 the. Ranked by number but also lie within tiers demarcated by their Future Value grades doesnt often vertical... 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